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Monday, April 20. 2009Altos Data Goes Mobile!Tons of fun new features going on here at Altos Research. Today we get to announce AltosXplorer: our full database query and charting system, is now mobile! That's right folks, a couple terabytes of real estate statistics and pretty charts right at your fingertips. Altos subscribers: Get your AltosXplorer mobile link by logging in to your account and selecting My Xplorer, Xplorer Mobile from the menu. Then send the URL to your phone. That's it! (You will, of course, need a phone with a web browser. And it'll need to have javascript enabled. My Blackberry did not have javascript enabled by default, FWIW.) ![]() Get your AltosXplorer link for your mobile phone browser. On your phone, you'll be able to select market area, city, zip code, and any of a bunch of different statistics. Want to take a peek at condo inventory trends while showing properties to a buyer client? Just a couple of clicks and you're at the data. ![]() Simple formatted AltosCharts on your mobile browser. Rock on. Lead Contact Form Goes Mobile Too! Many of our realtor subscribers like to use the data to reach new clients. What do you do when you find yourself engaged in a conversation about the market with a someone? Well now you can say, "Here, let me send you a report, you can check for yourself." The AltosConnect mobile lead-sign-up form is super handy. Pop in their name and contact information and they'll have a local market report in their inbox before you're even done with the conversation. How cool is that? We rolled this out a couple weeks ago. Lots of positive response. To get the link to the mobile version of your AltosConnect contact form widget, sign in to your account, select My Connect from the left hand menu, Save and Preview the widget, and enter your phone number. Again, that's it! Bookmark it on your phone and you'll always have access to your Altos database. Give both features a try and let me know how they work for you!
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in Altos Research, clients, fun, news, Real Estate Data, Technology, Trend Charts
at
08:32
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Sunday, February 22. 2009Check out our cool new market statistics widgetWe've been quietly rolling out new features for subscribers here at Altos World HQ over the past couple weeks. Today I get to announce a super cool new feature that our subscribers (especially the bloggers in that crowd) have been raving about. [sound the trumpets] AltosStats Live Market Statistics WidgetPreviously our widgets were trend charts. Plug in a chart to your site to illustrate the trend of one or two local real estate statistics. But the data is often just as interesting in a table format - the precise reading, right now. Good information density as Tufte likes to say. To whit: We built the AltosStats widget to work like our other widgets. Just copy a little chunk of HTML and Poof! Live data on your site. If you're an Altos Pro subscriber, here's how you can play: Log in to your account. Select the My Web Page menu item. Then click the Stats Widget link next to the market you want to display. That's it. All the data is live and all the formatting is done for you. ![]() Finding your new AltosStats market statistics widget. We made a skinny version too so you can drop one in the blog sidebar. There you have it. Enjoy.
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in Altos Research, clients, Real Estate Data, Real Estate Marketing Tools, Technology, Trend Charts
at
14:11
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Tuesday, February 10. 2009National Report: Home Prices Drop Another 2.1% in JanuaryOur National Report is out this week. From the press release:
The report is free, register here to download.
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in Housing Market Projections, Real Estate Data, Real Estate Trends
at
13:27
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Thursday, January 22. 2009Microsoft Layoffs and Seattle Real EstateIt's been rumored for weeks, but Microsoft made it official today, cutting 5000 jobs. Microsoft. You're watching the last leg of the stool being kicked out. The tech industry held out longer than most this time around. In the first half of 2008 many of the highly compensated and generally well-financed people in the tech industry were keeping prices steady in the most desirable neighborhoods of the Bay Area and Seattle (notably waterfront properties). Then as the stock markets declined in the second half of the year, we lost a lot of down-payment money. Finally this crew is now worried about basic monthly income. Here's how the housing market has been buffeted by the financial storm in Seattle. ![]() Home prices and inventory levels for single family homes in Seattle as of mid January 2009. I mentioned this to Aubrey Cohen at the Seattle PI in an interview last September as the job situation was starting to look bleak. "Seattle's drivers seem to be intact until the economy hits Microsoft and Amazon," I said at the time. Well. Here we are.
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in Real Estate Data, Real Estate Market, Seattle Real Estate, Technology
at
08:47
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Friday, December 12. 2008National Report: Real Estate Prices Decline 0.8% in November
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in Real Estate Data, Real Estate Market, Real Estate Report, Real Estate Trends
at
04:18
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Tuesday, November 25. 2008Now Taking Nominations for The 2008 Data-Rich Realtors AwardsWe see a lot of good real estate data here at Altos. We see a lot of great presentations of that data too. We decided that we'd like to offer some recognition for the best stuff out there. So we thought it'd be fun to have a little awards ceremony. We'll call it the Data-Rich Realtors Awards. A few guidelines:
Nominate someone! (feel free to nominate yourself!) Or email us: send name, web site, and other relevant info, like a particularly great blog, post to datarich@altosresearch.com We'll take nominees through December 15, 2008 The Winners Winners will be selected from the nominees by a panel of judges. We'll annouce the winners at the end of December. Nominate early, nominate often!
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in Altos Research, clients, fun, Real Estate Data
at
08:20
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Tuesday, November 18. 2008Luxury Real Estate Data in BusinessWeekSome nice press coverage in BusinessWeek this week. We compile unique luxury real estate data for our friends at the Institute for Luxury Home Marketing. If you stopped by the ILHM booth at NAR last week, you'd have seen the great report that their members have access to. The Institute launched the reports at the show. Coincidentally, BusinessWeek called looking for insights on how the real estate market is performing at the very high-end. The short answer is that, while the luxury market held out longer than the low end, everyone is feeling the pain now.
Here's how our Luxury Real Estate Market data works: We take the 10 highest-priced zip codes in 31 metro markets around the county (as long as their median price is over $500,000). We composite those zip codes together into a metro regional view (for example of the luxury real estate market in Los Angeles). Then we roll all the metros into a nation-wide view, which we call the ILHM National Composite. ![]() ILHM National Luxury Real Estate Data.
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in Altos Research, clients, methodology, Real Estate Data, Real Estate Market, Real Estate Report, Trend Charts
at
07:48
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Tuesday, November 11. 2008Altos Research in Forbes - Ten Best Suburbs to Sell a HomeOur latest article with Forbes.com is out. This one was a toughie. Their editors called and asked, "Where are the best selling suburbs for sellers right now?" It's a tough question because the answer, really, is no where. Sure the best properties, properly priced, in the best neighborhoods, will find their buyers. In fact we documented surprising resiliency in some markets through the summer. But even though prices might be holding, demand continues to slip. By our Market Action Index, there are essentially no markets with demand levels high enough to call them "Seller's Markets". We settled on identifying ten suburbs whose demand trends (as measured by Market Action Index and days on market) simply weren't horrible. My tongue-in-cheek quote for Matt at Forbes was,"If you have to sell your home, do it in one of these suburbs." Monday, November 10. 2008National Report: Real Estate Prices Drop Another 1.5% in October
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in news, Real Estate Data, Real Estate Report, Supply and Demand
at
07:39
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Tuesday, October 7. 2008Silicon Valley Real Estate and the Inverse GOOG EffectFor years I've written about the function of NASDAQ stock wealth on prime Silicon Valley real estate. I like to summarize with this phrase, "You don't buy a $2 million home in Palo Alto with a $1.8 million sub-prime loan. You buy it with $1.35 million in NASDAQ capital gains and a $650,000 in financing." That fact has buoyed real estate demand and prices from Saratoga through San Francisco in the past two years - even as the lower end of the market has been pummeled. Consider this: two companies (and their stocks), Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Google (NASDAQ: GOOG), minted several thousand local millionaires between 2004 and 2007. (The back-of-the-envelope calculation works like this: Of GOOG's 16,000 employees assume 5,000 locals are mostly vested. Assume they collectively own maybe 8% of the company. At GOOG's 2007 peak of $711/share that's $18 billion in local wealth created since 2004. AAPL has a similar scale from an $11 stock in 2004 to $190 peak, spread over maybe 8000 vested local employees, is an additional $13 billion of local capital gains wealth created in the preceding four years.) Many of those newly wealthy want to buy a home. The result is that simply from Google and Apple you have hundreds or even thousands of buyers at the high-end of the market. Couple this demand with the peculiar small-supply situation of the local region (limited new construction yields only a handful of available properties) - and you get the recipe for resisting the bursting bubble right up through the first half of 2008. Local Realtors know that the supply side of the equation is not likely to change drastically. There are simply no homes being added in close-in Silicon Valley unlike, say suburban Phoenix. ![]() Inventory of available single family homes in Palo Alto, CA compared with Paradise Valley, AZ. 90-day rolling averages. Data as of October 3, 2008 So the recipe depends on capital-gains-wealth-driven demand. And guess what? Year to date for 2008, both GOOG and AAPL are down by half. In the last 9 months or so, $15 billion of local wealth in just those two stocks has evaporated. The bubble burst has only started to hit us. [note: I am aware this is an over simplified argument. Home prices do not correlate with the movements of any one stock. We've checked. In some of these markets, they do correlate with movements in the NASDAQ as a whole, and we all know this isn't an isolated dip.] Tuesday, September 30. 2008Case Shiller Index Falls 1% in JulyHere are the Case Shiller Index numbers released today for July. No big surprise. Down of course. One percent more this month. Down 17% from July 2007. As I've been saying in the press lately, we've seen no signs of a bottom. Even before the crisis of the last couple weeks, pricing through September continues to be down sequentially. As we've already measured, the next three months of the Case Shiller numbers continue their fall at the same pace. Price decreases through September have not accelerated. There are no signs of market inflection points yet either. Days on Market is climbing and Inventories are flat at best. Contact us if you want specifics on the CSI for a given future date or a given MSA market.
Our National Report for September data comes out later this week with the current view on the market rather than the backward looking stuff released today. Stay tuned for details Monday, September 15. 2008Lehman, BofA, Merril, AIG: What everyone really wants to know is......what's going to happen to condo prices in Manhattan?
Where do we go from here?
So, look, the top-end of most regional markets has weathered the storm so far (see the discussion on my Fox TV interview). And Manhattan is notably the top-end for the region. But the fact is we're just starting this recession and this time around it's a financials-led recession. The few factors keeping Manhattan condos afloat into 2008 are evaporating in front of our eyes. My guess: Median price for Manhattan condo will down 20% in 2009. That part is just a guess. I'm simply finding it difficult to identify any factors to be sanguine about.
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in news, New York Real Estate, Real Estate Data, Real Estate Prices, Real Estate Trends
at
10:11
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Friday, September 5. 2008Report: Real Estate Prices Down by 1.5% in AugustOur Latest National Housing Market Report is out. You can download the PDF here. From the press release:
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in House Prices, Housing Market, press coverage, Real Estate Data, Real Estate Prices, Real Estate Report
at
07:15
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Thursday, August 21. 2008Look At These Data-Rich RealtorsWe love it when our clients get good blog fodder from our data. We need to be more diligent about showing the link love to 'em. Surfing around with a little insomnia tonight I found a whole set from just the last day or two. Check out these wonderful realtors with great, data-rich blogs:
Posted by Mike Simonsen
in California real estate, clients, Housing Market, Real Estate Agents, Real Estate Data, Trend Charts
at
01:45
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Tuesday, August 5. 2008Report: National Home Prices Down By 0.8% in JulyOur latest National Housing Market Report is out. This one examines data through end of July 2008. You can download the PDF here.
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